TDE Pro · Market Charts

Updated May 15, 9:26 AM ET

Market Charts

Use Overview → Regime → Confirmation → Tactical → Valuation to move from market state to timing.

IntelligenceMarket ChartsDeFi ChartsSoon
OverviewRegimeConfirmationTacticalValuation

Charts posture

Cautious / selective

Regime:HealthyConfirmation:FragileTactical:FragileValuation:Mixed
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Regime

Healthy

Regime: slow-moving structure from the global backdrop, large-cap breadth, and ETF demand.

70% of top 100 above 50-day trend

Today's context

Today's read: More than half of CoinGecko's top 100 market-cap universe is above its 50-day trend, and leverage is no longer fighting the move. The big picture looks healthier.

Global Market Regime

What it measures
24h market-cap move
+0.16%
Mixed

Interpretation

Broad market cap is roughly flat today. BTC dominance is still elevated, so broad alt participation has more to prove.

Total market cap

$2.75T

24h volume

$112.7B

BTC dominance58.4%
Altcoins41.6%

Source: CoinGecko · Update: latest available snapshot

How broad is large-cap participation?

What it measures
Above 50-day
69.7% (69/99)
Healthy

Interpretation

69.7% of the top 100 coins are above their 50D average. Breadth looks constructive.

Above 50-day trend

69.7%

Tracked universe

69 / 99

Top 100 CoinGecko market-cap coins

1M breadth change

+1.7 pts

Healthy above 50%
Fragile below 50%

Source: CoinGecko daily closes · Update: latest available daily history

Are BTC and ETH ETFs still absorbing demand?

What it measures
Combined 30D
+$3.16B
Mixed

Interpretation

ETF demand is improving, but still uneven. BTC is -$1.12B / +$2.74B on 7D / 30D, while ETH is -$290M / +$416M.

Bitcoin

7D

-$1.1B

30D

+$2.7B

Ethereum

7D

-$290M

30D

+$416M

BTC daily flow
ETH daily flow
Positive = net inflow
Negative = net outflow
Source: CoinGlass ETF APICurrent read: BTC positive on 30D, ETH positive on 30D.

Source: CoinGlass ETF API · Update: latest available 30D window

Confirmation

Fragile

Confirmation: spot buying and options hedging should support the move before conviction increases.

Skew +5.1 · BTC spot -$470.4M

Today's context

Today's read: Price action and buying pressure look better, but traders are still paying up for crash protection. Recovery is only partial.

Are traders still paying up for downside protection?

What it measures
1M skew
+5.1
Fragile

Interpretation

Downside protection costs more than upside bets at +5.1. Traders are still paying to hedge downside.

Crash protection premium

+5.1

Above 0 = downside protection costs more

Cost of betting up

35.25%

Calls = upside bets

Cost of betting down

40.32%

Puts = crash protection

Below 0 = calm
Above 0 = nervous
30D selected point

Data source: BTC options on Deribit, with the 30D point estimated from nearby expiries (Jun 5 → Jun 26).

Source: Deribit · Update: latest available tenor snapshot

Is BTC spot buying strong enough to confirm the move?

What it measures
BTC 7D / ETH 7D
-$470.4M · -$373.7M
Mixed

Interpretation

Buyers and sellers are still fighting. This does not confirm a clean trend yet.

Bitcoin default read

Still mixed

Positive bars mean aggressive buyers beat aggressive sellers on exchange.

BTC 24H-$6.0M
BTC 7D-$470.4M
BTC 30D+$197.9M
ETH 7D-$373.7M

BTC

24H -$6.0M · 7D -$470.4M · 30D +$197.9M

ETH comparison

24H -$143.5M · 7D -$373.7M · 30D -$1.5B

Source: CoinGlass · Update: latest available 24H / 7D / 30D windows

Tactical

Fragile

Tactical: short-term positioning and timing reads. Useful for entries and exits, not for changing the market call on their own.

Basis 18.1% ann.

Today's context

Today's read: Short-term trading signals are active, but leverage still looks crowded. Use this for timing, not for big-picture conviction.

Is open interest still building?

What it measures
OI change
-0.7%
Fragile

Interpretation

Open interest is contracting (-0.7%). Looks more like de-risking.

Current OI change-0.7%
Total open interest$6.8B

Source: CoinGlass perps · Update: latest available window

Is funding still supportive or getting crowded?

What it measures
Funding
-0.283%
Fragile

Interpretation

Funding is negative at -0.283%. Shorts are leaning harder than longs.

Current funding-0.283%
ReadShorts pressing hard

Source: CoinGlass perps · Update: latest available window

Leverage Cost

What it measures
Average basis
18.1% ann.
Fragile

Interpretation

Leverage is elevated (~18.1% annualized). That raises wipeout risk if price snaps back.

BTC leverage premium35.3%
ETH leverage premium1.0%
Extended above 15%

Source: CoinGlass futures basis · Update: latest available history

Spot Liquidity

What it measures
Tracked volume
$5.69B
Healthy

Interpretation

Liquidity looks healthy. BTC has the deepest market, and spreads remain tight (BTC 0.014% · ETH 0.015%).

BTC

Spread

0.014%

Volume

$3B

Binance · Kraken

ETH

Spread

0.015%

Volume

$2.69B

Binance · Kraken

Source: CoinGecko tickers · Update: latest available snapshot

Recent Liquidations

What it measures
Latest day
$16M
Fragile

Interpretation

Long liquidations drove the latest move (~$16M total). Bullish positioning got hit, so the tape looks less forgiving.

Long liquidations$12M
Short liquidations$4M

Source: CoinGlass liquidations · Update: latest available history

Secondary tactical detail

Optional extra color from sentiment and rotation.

More

Is sentiment getting too hot?

What it measures
Index42/100
Fragile

Interpretation

Sentiment is in fear. The market looks either too fearful or too crowded for a clean setup.

Current42 · Fear
Fear < 45
Greed > 55

Source: CoinGlass Fear & Greed · Update: latest available history

Category Rotation Heatmap

What it measures
Leaders
4/8 green · Derivatives
Mixed

Interpretation

Rotation is mixed. Leadership exists but the move is still selective.

Selected category

Derivatives

Derivatives are financial instruments whose value is derived from an underlying asset (e.g. Crude Oil, Gold, Bitcoin etc). Compared to spot markets where the underlying asset changes ownership, in derivatives markets,…

Drill-down

Derivatives

Derivatives are financial instruments whose value is derived from an underlying asset (e.g. Crude Oil, Gold, Bitcoin etc). Compared to spot markets where the underlying asset changes ownership, in derivatives markets,…

24h move

+9.45%

24h volume

$1.09B

Top coins

HyperliquidPendleEthgas 2

Which names are driving the tape right now?

What it measures
SpreadGWEI +26% · B -13.5%
Healthy

Interpretation

GWEI is outrunning the downside. Useful for momentum, not for defining structure.

Leader GWEI25.95%
Lagging B-13.52%

Source: CoinGecko movers · Update: latest available snapshot

Valuation

Mixed

Valuation: long-cycle context for judging room-to-run versus overheating, not for timing a single day.

MVRV 0.89 · RP 1.5×

Today's context

Today's read: MVRV sits at 0.89, while BTC trades 1.5× above realized price — long-cycle valuation still looks contained and on-chain support sits well below spot.

Does Bitcoin still look cheap, fair, or stretched?

What it measures
MVRV Z-score
0.89
Mixed

Interpretation

Bitcoin looks roughly fair at 0.89. Not cheap, but not overheated either.

Current reading0.89
Historically cheap < 0
Historically overheated > 7

This compares Bitcoin’s market price to the network’s historical cost basis. Lower readings have usually been better long-term entries; very high readings have often marked overheated cycles.

Source: Bitcoin Magazine Pro · Update: latest available daily history

Where is on-chain support?

What it measures
REALIZED PRICE MULTIPLE
1.5×
Healthy

Interpretation

BTC trades at 1.5× its aggregate realized price — holders are comfortably in profit and support is distant below.

Current price$81,052
Realized price$54,246

This shows BTC's price relative to the network's aggregate cost basis. When price is above realized price, most holders are in profit and support tends to hold. When price drops below, capitulation risk increases.

Source: Bitcoin Magazine Pro · Update: latest available daily history

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CoinGecko + CoinGlass + Deribit + Bitcoin Magazine ProLive·May 15, 9:26 AM ET·Not for public distribution